Fed Rate Dec 154.42%NVDA 2027 Revenue$370.0BArsenal Goal Diff+2.1UK GDP Q30.31%Man City Goals/Game1.8AAPL EPS Q1$2.41IPOs 2026187BTC Dec 31$94,200ECB Rate Mar2.75%Fed Rate Dec 154.42%NVDA 2027 Revenue$370.0BArsenal Goal Diff+2.1UK GDP Q30.31%Man City Goals/Game1.8AAPL EPS Q1$2.41IPOs 2026187BTC Dec 31$94,200ECB Rate Mar2.75%

Trade interest ratesinterest rates
with precision.

Join the waitlist›
/// 01 THE PROBLEM

WHY BINARY
ISN'T ENOUGH

Will inflation exceed 3%? Will NVIDIA beat earnings? Every prediction market asks yes or no. Nobody asks by how much.

NVIDIA reports $370B in revenue. One trader predicted $370B. Another said $400B. Binary markets paid them both $1. A $30B difference in their forecasts. Zero difference in their reward.

Binary PayoffNVDA 2027 Revenue Beats $350B?
P&L+$0.50$0-$0.50$350BSTRIKE$300B$420BNVIDIA 2027 RevenueTrader A$370BTrader B$400BSAME PAYOUTActual: $370B
Trader A: $370B (nailed it)
Trader B: $400B ($30B off)
Both paid exactly +$0.50.
Trader A's edge was massive. Trader B's edge was zero. Same reward.
Linear PayoffNVDA 2027 Revenue
ENTRY$350.0B
SETTLEMENT$370.0B
CONTRACTS100
( $370.0 - $350.0 )DIFFERENCE
×·
100CONTRACTS
=·
+$2,000P&L
P&L+$4,000+$2,000$0-$2,000-$4,000$350B$370B+$2,000$310B$390BENTRYSETTLEMENT
/// 02 THE SOLUTION

INTRODUCING
LINEAR MARKETS

Trade numbers, not yes/no. If you think it'll end up higher than the market price, you buy. If lower, you sell. The further it moves in your favour, the more you make.

Earnings, GDP, goal margins, vote margins — any outcome that has a number has a market.

/// 03 SINGLE INSTRUMENT

ONE MARKET PER METRIC, NOT TWENTY-FIVE

On a binary platform, covering NVIDIA's full revenue range means dozens of separate contracts. Each fragmenting liquidity further. Reeshaw replaces them with one market on the actual figure. One order book. All the liquidity in one place.

Deeper liquidity. Tighter spreads. One position.

20+ Binary Markets
>$300B?
Y.96N.04
>$310B?
Y.93N.07
>$320B?
Y.88N.12
>$325B?
Y.84N.16
>$330B?
Y.79N.21
>$335B?
Y.73N.27
>$340B?
Y.67N.33
>$345B?
Y.60N.40
>$350B?
Y.52N.48
>$355B?
Y.44N.56
>$360B?
Y.37N.63
>$365B?
Y.30N.70
>$370B?
Y.24N.76
>$375B?
Y.18N.82
>$380B?
Y.13N.87
>$390B?
Y.07N.93
>$400B?
Y.04N.96
>$410B?
Y.02N.98
>$420B?
Y.01N.99
>$430B?
Y.00N1.0
20+ markets · 20+ bid/asks · fragmented liquidity
1 Linear Market
NVDA 2027 Revenue
BID
$349.2B
ASK
$350.8B
all liquidity here
/// 04 HOW IT PAYS

THE NUMBER IS YOUR PAYOFF

The market prices NVIDIA 2027 revenue at $350B. You think $400B, so you buy. Revenue prints $370B. Every dollar above your entry, you profit.

Right by a little, make a little. Right by a lot, make a lot. No asymmetry. Your edge is your reward.

PAYOFF CURVE
Entry: $350B — NVIDIA 2027 Revenue
LOSSPROFITP&L+$800−$80$270B$350B$430BNVIDIA 2027 Revenue
/// 05 THE SIGNAL

A LIVE ESTIMATE, NOT JUST AN EXCHANGE

Every open position reflects a participant's view on the number. Together, they form a live consensus estimate. The market price is the crowd's collective forecast.

Earnings estimates and sports forecasts that update in real time. Priced by conviction, independent of sell-side consensus.

LIVE CONSENSUSSTREAMING
$350.0B↑ +$3.8B this week
last trade: 2 min ago
14d agonow
BID
$349.2B
ASK
$350.8B
NVDA 2027 Revenueupdated on every trade
/// WHO IT'S FOR

Built for anyone who has felt
the ceiling of yes/no.

📈

Fundamental Investors

& Stock Traders

You're edge is the estimate, not the stock. Trade directly on revenue, EPS, and free cash flow without the basis risk, factor noise, or macro drift that comes with equities. P&L that moves with your fundamental view, nothing else.

PURE FUNDAMENTAL EXPOSURE
🔮

Polymarket

& Kalshi Traders

You've traded the elections, the Fed decisions, the earnings calls. You know how to read a market. But when your view has a number behind it, yes or no leaves money on the table. Reeshaw is built for the view you actually have.

BEYOND YES / NO
🧮

Investment Banks

& Equity Research

Sell-side estimates cluster around consensus. The herd sets the number. Reeshaw's estimate is set by participants with real capital behind it: a number from people whose only incentive is being right.

PRICED BY CONVICTION
⚽

Sports Bettors

& Sharps

You already think in magnitudes: point spreads, goal differences, total points. Reeshaw gives you one clean market with a proportional payoff. Win by one, make a little. Win by four, make four times as much.

PROPORTIONAL PAYOFF

The future of prediction markets